We switch back to baseball betting as the Florida Marlins take on the Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday night in a game where the Marlins will be trying to bounce back after two straight losses. In fact, Florida has gone 3-7 straight-up in their last 10 games. They send pitcher Ricky Nolasco to the mound. Nolasco is 2 and 3 with a 6.63 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP. Those are terrible numbers for a guy with a 1.28 career WHIP.
The Brewers counter Nolasco with pitcher Braden Looper. Looper hasn’t been fantastic with a 4.18 ERA but his WHIP of 1.52 makes him slightly better than Nolasco in this matchup.
Here is the BetUS MLB betting line for this game:
Florida Marlins
Ricky Nolasco – R +1½ -175 +115 O 9 -110 O/U 4 -125/-105
Milwaukee Brewers
Braden Looper – R -1 ½ +155 -135 U 9 -110 O/U 4 ½ -120/-110
Here are a few betting trends for this game:
The Florida Marlins are 1 and 5 in their last 6 games as underdogs on the road.
The Florida Marlins are 22 and 10 in Ricky Nolasco’s last 32 starts.
The Milwaukee Brewers are 9 and 2 in their last 11 games versus a team with a winning record.
The Milwaukee Brewers are 7 and 2 in their last 9 games overall.
One significant trend that I didn’t write above is that in the 7 losses out of 10 that they have suffered recently, the Florida Marlins were beaten by at least 2 runs in 6 of them.
So, what gamblers need to decide is whether or not the Milwaukee Brewers will win this game. Because if the Brewers do win this game, then a bet on the run line is a very good bet.
I believe that the Brewers will win because Nolasco’s WHIP and ERA are just too high. Florida is reeling after their torrid start and soon will be at the bottom of the N.L. East Division. The Marlins have it in their heads that they just aren’t as good as some baseball fans though at the beginning of the year. They won’t be able to get over that mentally.
I’m going to ride Braden Looper and the Milwaukee Brewers in this.
I’ll make a wager on Braden Looper and the Milwaukee Brewers at -1 ½ +155 on the run line in this game.
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